Everything in life seeks equilibrium and balance. It doesn’t matter what it is... everything seeks balance. If you work too hard you will get sick and you will be forced to rest. If you don’t eat you get hungry. When the government manipulates affordability in housing markets it throws off the true market equilibrium. Fundamentally the government was attempting to create a new equilibrium where are greater percentage of the population were home owners. We now know that though well intentioned this push had severe consequences.
I have written a fair amount on this subject before. However the attached article is a compelling reminder that false supports are preventing us from finding the equilibrium. Letting the market correct will bring real stability back into the market. Yes, prices will likely be lower but the footing will be firm. False supports will continue to promote indecision in the marketplace and the reality is that the market is seeking a true equilibrium in spite of these false supports... hence the drop in sales numbers.
See the URL below:
http://money.cnn.com/2010/08/31/real_estate/federal_housing_programs.fortune/index.htm?section=money_realestate&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_realestate+%28Real+Estate%29
Desk of Zach Trailer
By Lanny Berg
Showing posts with label market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label market. Show all posts
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Monday, May 10, 2010
A Wild Ride on Wall Street
What a wild ride on Wall Street last week. All of 2010 gains were temporarily wiped out and after a roller coaster couple of days the Dow is gaining back what was lost. At one point a 30 year mortgage was in the neighborhood of 4.5% as money fleeing from EU risk came pouring into US Treasuries. An EU bailout has caused the dollar to fall again today 5/10 which is good for the stock market.
The Real Estate market continues to show strength. Below is a great link to see just how strongly the housing market has come back in silicon valley. http://www.burbed.com/2010/04/25/silicon-valley-median-home-price-rises-29-percent/ Median prices have risen by 29%. Likely there are a few contributing factors. The expiration of the first time home buyers tax credit brought a lot of buyers into the market. Historically low interests rates continue to be a big incentive to buyers. The truth of the matter is that compared with a year ago those who are still employed are far less afraid of losing their jobs than they were a year ago, especially in here in Silicon Valley. In Silicon Valley companies are financially healthy and making a lot of money. Many including Apple have announced fabulous earnings which gives confidence to those who are employed. In fact, tech is hiring again which will only continue to build strength in the market.
Have a great Monday!
From the desk of Zach Trailer.
The Real Estate market continues to show strength. Below is a great link to see just how strongly the housing market has come back in silicon valley. http://www.burbed.com/2010/04/25/silicon-valley-median-home-price-rises-29-percent/ Median prices have risen by 29%. Likely there are a few contributing factors. The expiration of the first time home buyers tax credit brought a lot of buyers into the market. Historically low interests rates continue to be a big incentive to buyers. The truth of the matter is that compared with a year ago those who are still employed are far less afraid of losing their jobs than they were a year ago, especially in here in Silicon Valley. In Silicon Valley companies are financially healthy and making a lot of money. Many including Apple have announced fabulous earnings which gives confidence to those who are employed. In fact, tech is hiring again which will only continue to build strength in the market.
Have a great Monday!
From the desk of Zach Trailer.
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Mortgage Market off of Life Support
The Federal Government has officially stopped buying mortgage backed securities as of March 31st 2010. This government action is credited with keeping the broader housing market alive over the last year by keeping liquidity in the market and continuing to fund first time home-buyer mortgages. These purchases, stimulated by additional tax credits have accounted for up to 50% of purchases in many markets across the country and have provided key support to the broader housing market. Interest rates should be watched closely as the financial markets will determine demand for these securities and thus affect mortgage interest rates. The good news is that prices have not jumped nearly as much as people initially thought they might. Optimistically speaking... this will be a smooth transition.
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